Monday, September 03, 2007

Unscientific Disaster Poll

So how likely do you think it is now that we'll play some idiotic military gambit in Iran? Once we'd hit about last May without a strike I'd figured someone in the administration had acquired enough sense to avoid overextending ourselves. Damn, I'm tired of thinking I'm wrong.


Blogger rhhardin said...

Offhand it sounds like a good idea to me. It's all gamed out, by both sides, by now. The play will be in adapting. Perhaps castling early.

5:11 PM  
Blogger stuart said...

I think it depends what happens in Iraq, if the US stays in Iraq i think it will be less likely, if the US Leaves and the Iraqi government Steps up, ditto, but if Iran try's to put Iraq firmly in its sphere of influence, thus threatening the more friendly Arab/gulf states (Jordan, Saudi, the UAE, Kuwait and Israel) then i could imagine it definitely being on the cards, it would need some kind of catalyst mind, maybe not of 9/11 size but something that would make it easier to justify. Such as an attack, openly committed by Iran on a US naval vessel.

11:50 PM  
Anonymous A Moose said...

It will be an in and out thing, kinda like the last time they had a nuke program almost there and Israel took care of it. Someone has to take care of it this time or we'll all regret it for a long time.

5:43 AM  
Blogger Jake said...

I'm guessing a Gulf of Tonkin sort of thing, followed by some an airstrike. Then a bunch of declarations of "mission accomplished" without actually using the phrase "mission accomplished."

6:09 AM  

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